Does anyone else get bothered when their wife or girlfriend gushes over how good looking Kirk Herbstreit is? Well it's happened to this analyst twice in his life so I'm pleased to present Herbstreit's preseason Champion pick Miami -- how's that prediction looking now pretty boy? Miami is ending the Larry Coker era with a win in 52% of simulations. Neither QB is putting up very good stats. Nevada's Jeff Rowe is doing a better job limiting turnovers. Kirby Freeman (Kyle Wright injured) is averaging 1.4 INTs per simulation. Fortunately for Miami, their kicking game is hitting some clutch FGs to give them a close, close win.